Military Presence in South Lebanon – Asset or Liability

Point of View | 46

What is the Issue?

  • The IDF has taken over a security zone in south Lebanon, similar to the one held by Israel until its withdrawal from Lebanon (5/00).

  • The objective of the military presence on the ground is to create a zone which is "clean" of Hizbullah forces, and to prepare the ground for the arrival of an international force, following a ceasefire agreement.​

  • Due to the complexity of deploying such an international force, there may be a substantial "interim period" between a ceasefire and the deployment of the international force. (See: International Involvement Predicament (4) – The Interim Period).​

  • Israel's objectives are to minimize the length of this interim period, the end of which will be the establishment a new military-political arrangement that would undermine Hizbullah's ability.

Why is this Important?  Why Now?

  • The interim period may allow Hizbullah to restore its military capabilities, earn renewed support within the internal Lebanese arena and might even obstruct the deployment of the international force.​

  • Therefore, the IDF may find itself in south Lebanon, constrained by the ceasefire agreement, while exposed to Hizbullah's guerilla attacks and with no certainty regarding the deployment of an international force.

Tags

["Delegitimization, Partner for Peace, Legitimacy, Emergency Preparedness, National Security Council']

2006-04-01

Point of View

National Security

Regional Security

Israel should question whether a military presence after the ceasefire will serve its objectives.



 

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Point of View | 83

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